Iran: The Next Target?
by William Rivers Pitt

The Bush administration is on the cusp of beginning a program to destabilize and overthrow the ruling government in Iran. "There's no question but that there have been and are today senior al Qaeda leaders in Iran, and they are busy," Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld recently proclaimed. This is the same rhetoric he used successfully to rally support for war in Iraq. The American government suspended all contact with the Iranian government in the aftermath of several terrorist bombings in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, after intelligence services intercepted transmissions which reportedly indicate a connection between those bombings and terrorists operating in Iran.

Accusations have been raised that fewer than a dozen al Qaeda terrorists are operating in northeastern Iran. The region of Iran reportedly used by these terrorists shares a border with Afghanistan. Today, that area is a lawless no-man's land dominated by drug runners and resurgent Afghanistan-based Taliban members.

If there are terrorists in northeastern Iran, they are there because the Bush administration failed to finish what it started in Afghanistan. Iran's government has no more control over that region than we do, but the alleged terrorists there will be one premise for the next conflict. Given the Bush administration's penchant for manufacturing facts to suit a desire for war, it would surprise few to discover that the alleged connections between Iran and the Riyadh bombings were made of smoke.

What is not made of smoke, however, is Iran's nuclear weapons program. This program is supported by both conservative Iranian clerics and by democratically elected reformers like Iranian President Mohammad Khatami for one reason only. Both groups saw what happened to Iraq, a nation that had no such powerful weapons to defend itself against American invasion. Like North Korea, 'axis of evil' member Iran has seen what being defenseless means. Thus, we see how much safer Bush's war in Iraq has made the planet.

Iran is a democracy on many levels. It has elections and elected officials, many of whom are allied with President Mohammad Khatami's desire to wrest Iran away from the fundamentalist mullahs and transform it into a more secular state. A vast majority of Iranians favor this reform, but have come to detest the United States' hyperactive military policy.

Flynt Leverett, who recently left the Bush administration, said, "It is imprudent to assume that the Islamic Republic will collapse like a house of cards. What it means is we will end up with an Iran that has nuclear weapons and no dialogue with the United States with regard to our terrorist concerns." In other words, we will have a nuclear nation whose road to reform was torn apart by an American administration interested in starting a third war.

More ironic is the manner in which the Bush administration may come to force the issue of destabilization. In a meeting between Washington and Tehran in early January, the administration told Iran that it would attack camps of the Mujaheddin-e Khalq, or MEK, a major group opposing the Iranian government that was operating in Iraq, and is cited as a terrorist group by the State Department. During the war, MEK camps were bombed. To the fury of the Iranians, a cease-fire between the MEK and the US was negotiated. It seems the Bush administration was impressed by the military discipline and armament of the MEK, and has come to see them as a potential military force to be used against the Iranian government.

The Bush administration has opened, but not concluded, two wars and appears ready to begin a third with the help of known terrorists, while suppressing the truth behind the 9/11 attacks, and manufacturing evidence to justify their actions. The aftereffects of these actions will be a dynamic increase in terrorist attacks and recruitment, chaos in Iraq, chaos in Afghanistan, and an America that is more wide open than ever to assault.

 


Back to Peace Talk Index, Summer, 2003

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